Reverse Psychology sometimes takes a long time to come around
I guess we are also gonna need a #Matt Garza tag on here, as well. Eeeh, we don't need no stinkin' Matt Garza.
This post is for the dweebs hyperventilating about the "price we paid" as well as those who feel like Tom Ricketts lied to us about our use of the farm system.
Have any of you truly tracked Baseball America and their so-called top-prospects? Probably not, since you need a subscription to do so. I was able to get ahold, thanks to Jeff Zimmerman of Royals Review, of a compiled list of the top 100 prospects per year since 1990. Granted, our farm system is nearly unmatched in its suckiness. But, going over the lists over the years, it does tend to lend some perspective to the bleating cry that the "Cubs traded 2 of their top 3 prospects" for Matt Garza, a young, solid member who would look at home on 29 of the 30 starting staffs in baseball.
Doubt the Phillies have any room for him.
Anyway, over the past 21 years:
- 42 individuals made the list as part of the Cubs organization, which is truly pathetic.
- 24 of these magic 42 "top 100, can't miss" prospects actually played in the major leagues. That means 18 so-called "can't miss" prospects never even made a roster. We're talking the Earl Cunninghams, Ty Griffins, as well as the Brian Dopriaks and something named Ryan Hawblitzel???
- Out of the 24 that actually saw a major league roster, 9 would be characterized as "bust-outs". These include Gary Scott, Kevin Orie, Jesse Hollins, but do NOT include Ronny Cedeno, Mark Prior, and Felix Pie.
- Of the 15 who have had a passable major league career, besides Cedeno, Prior, and Pie, the 15 also includes Carlos Zambrano.
- They also include Doug Glanville, Rick Wilkins, and Juan Cruz.
- The top three names on the lists? Kerry Wood, Kosuke Fukudome, and Starlin Castro.
- The 2008 ROY, Geovany Soto, was never on any of the lists.
Point? There is nothing more infantile and pointless than the hand-wringing that goes on when "prospects" are traded for proven players. A very small percentage of the so-called "can't miss" sure things actually make an impact in the major leagues. It is an even smaller percentage when the Cubs are doing the drafting.
Would I want to have traded Zambrano, Glanville, Wood and Prior for a 3.88 career ERA pitcher? Of course not, but it is more likely we just traded away Lance Dickson, Pat Cline, Luis Montanez, and...uh...Sam Fuld.