Goatriders of the Apocalypse

The Waiver Test

Alex Rios has been mashing for the White Sox this year with a .317 average, 13 home runs, and 19 steals. You don't happen to remember how Chicago's AL team got him onto their roster, do you?

Rios was claimed off of waivers. That is, his former team -- the Toronto Blue Jays -- simply gave him away, for absolutely nothing in return.

Given Rios' recent performance at the time, it was thought that the Blue Jays were making a potentially shrewd move to eliminate some salary; Rios had six years left on a seven year, $70 million deal. At the same time, many in the media scoffed at the White Sox' gamble. That was a heckuvalot of salary to take on.

What does this have to do with the Cubs? Well, it appears the hot stove is truly beginning to heat up already. (Aside: what's with everyone writing about how the Cubs aren't sure about whether they have a shot at the playoffs or not, and won't entertain trade ideas until then? You're kidding, right?)

If this team does, as it should, enter full-on sell mode in the next few weeks, there are a few names you can expect to see pop up in all sorts of trade rumors: Lee, Nady, Lilly, etc. But here's my question for the trade-happy public:

If the entire Cubs roster were put on waivers tomorrow -- that is, offered up for zero in return -- how many players would be worth a roster spot to other teams?

I look forward to reviewing your answers in the comments.

It would be a pretty tough

It would be a pretty tough propsition to find any of our "big name" players picked up. That has mostly to do with the amount of money they are owed. If the Cubs wanted to eat major contracts, then most of them would get claimed. However, there aren't any Alex Rios type players who are making huge money for the clubs. By that I mean young, potential five-tool players who have some reasonable chance to regain their prior ability to play. No one is going to pick up Soriano, Zambrano, Fukudome, etc and pay all the money that is still owed to them...even if they have to give nothing more in return.

Meh!

This is tough. Ted Lilly, Ryan Theriot, Charles Marble, Marlon Byrd, Carlos Silva.

I would say Marlon Byrd and Marmol may be on the top of the list. Byrd can play center and has had great year so far. Marmol, because there are very few good closers out there. Carlos Silva is iffy, a part of me believes his success is real, but part of me thinks he is like Jason Marquis. He starts out hot and then fades.

Silva's contract for next

Silva's contract for next year has him receiving something like $12 million. The Cubs did receive cash in the trade for him, but presumably that money isn't stapled to the corner of the contract. So if he were grabbed on waivers, it'd be for something like $6 million for the rest of this year and $12 million for next year. Are you sure he'd be taken?

Silva

If Silva somehow levels off and pitches over the next two years like Jason Marquis, that isn't too horrible. If he is turns out being the Carlos Silva of the Twins, I would say definitely.

According to fangraphs, when he was with the Twins he was worth at least $10 mill a year when healthy. Like I said, it is iffy.

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=973&position=P

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