Goatriders of the Apocalypse

Reader Blog: Patience with Geovany

I have been reading all over the internet the frustration that Cub fans are having with Geo Soto. People have actually been suggesting releasing him and trading for a catcher (who????) or benching him in favor Koyie Hill.

I am a member of the Koyie Hill fan club but the fans need to show Soto some patience, for chrissakes! I mean, sure the guy had a low batting average last year but there are several reasons not to worry about that.

1) He was famously injured and fat for the whole season.

2) He hit into awful bad luck.

Soto's.246 BABIP in 2009 was inordinately low. If he simply lifted that number to a more ordinary .300, he would have hit much closer to his 2008 levels. His walk rate was actually *higher* in 2009 than it was in 2008. Every projection system thinks he'll get his batting average back to the .260 level or higher. So if he can stay healthy, he's going to be one of the top 5 or so offensive catchers in the NL this year. Given that he's being paid the minimum, it is ridiculously stupid beyond belief to release or bench him. My God people. Wait until the end of May to make a further judgment on Geo. He will hit.

Agree with you to some

Agree with you to some extent.

League avg BABIP is right at .300, and Soto was at .332 in '08, so some regression should have been expected in '09. We got that and then some. Then the weight loss, the heightened expectations, etc.

But you're right. It's only 3 games he's started thus far. And while the 1 for 9 with a walk sucks, its still only 10 PA. If this 1 for 9 happened in June during a successful season it would rarely register a blip. To note, his BABIP early on this year is just .200.

Despite the slow start, I'm sticking with my initial feelings on Geo of something along the lines of 260/340/420...which would be great, all things considered.

Keep the faith, all.

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