Game 2 projections, early returns
Billingsley - 3.65 ERA, 6.6 IP
Zambrano - 3.63 ERA, 7 IP
I know that my projection for Dempster was lower than my projection for Zambrano, but I think Z is the better pitcher. Marcels is a "dumb" projeciton system, and it can't tell the difference between a low ERA compiled as a reliever and a low ERA compiled as a starter. And my method of generating ERA from components seems to perpetually underrate Zambrano. Also, Zambrano is much more of a horse than Dempster, and much more likely to take us deep into ballgames.
Cubs expected win percentage is .561, a healthy jump up from last night's dismal odds. Today we are truly putting a better team on the field than the Dodgers (without home field advantage the Cubs would have been favored to lose last night's game). Let's capitalize.