Goatriders of the Apocalypse

Game and Series Recap: Cubs 5, Rockies 11 (1-3) -- Moving on!

Recap
The Cubs did not look very good this weekend.

A lot of that had to do with injuries. Carlos Zambrano was unable to take the mound for his scheduled start; perhaps more detrimental was the fact that he was unable to inform the team of that fact until moments before the first pitch was scheduled.

Tom Gorzelanny was hit in the foot with a comebacker that ended his start prematurely. Actually, maybe that Caridad guy pitched better than Gorgonzola would have, but still, injuries suck.

Also, Aramis Ramirez' shoulder is acting up again. I've even seen rumors that he might be headed to the DL. That would really suck, although perhaps this time around we'd see more Jake Fox at 3B, and less Mike Fontenot.

Having said all that, I think the real head scratcher (that's a technical term) from this past series was Sunday's game.

On the one hand, the Cubs had to be disappointed by the untimeliness of Randy Wells' first failure as the team's most recently anointed stopper. After having allowed just one earned run in his last 15.1 innings pitched, Wells was decidedly less-than-shutdown against the Rox, allowing five runs in 5.1 innings pitched.

Then again, there's also the flat out astounding issue of the hit column in that game.

If I told you the Cubs outhit their opponent, 17 to 14, and lost, you may have been a bit surprised. But how do those numbers translate to an 11-5 rout?

Let's look specifically at some of the missed opportunities from that game.

  • 1st inning: men on 2nd and 3rd, 2 out, Kosuke K's.
  • 2nd inning: men on 1st and 3rd, 1 out, Wells grounds into a DP (instead of bunting...?).
  • 3rd inning: men on 2nd and 3rd, 1 out, Soriano flies out softly and Baker K's (after MB failed to score from 2nd on a Kosuke single).
  • 6th inning: man on 2nd, 1 out, Theriot and MB both strike out.
  • 7th inning: men on 1st and 2nd, no outs, K-flyout-flyout.

That's not even a comprehensive list of every time the Cubs had runners in scoring position. It's just an arbitrary selection from a simply staggering number of opportunities that the Cubs had to turn Sunday's game into something a bit more interesting.

As it happened, though, the Cubs lost the game on Sunday. And they lost the series, which gave them a losing record for the road trip (4-6).

As a Cub fan, would you have been having a better Tuesday morning if, after last night's loss, the Cubs had ended up splitting the series, and the road trip? That one game difference has a bigger psychological impact than it deserves to make, I think. It's just one game, after all--one game out of what's getting to be a smaller and smaller number of chances to get back into this playoff race, unfortunately.

Kurt
I give AJ credit for all the detail -- it's not easy writing about suck.

Just a couple of extra thoughts to bridge the gap between now and tonight...

One of the reasons I believe this blog is a pretty good place to get your Cubs content is because we do not all agree.  In fact, sometimes we disagree with each other into the point of ridiculousness.  Despite what detractors would tell you, we do not stifle contrary opinions as long as they are constructive.  Hating Milton Bradley or Alfonso Soriano because they aren't earning their salary is an opinion I cannot contest -- although I'll probably never think of Soriano as being "selfish."  I got to see selfish patrol in right field for the Cubs for a decade, and Sori's not that.  But calling Cub players epithets will get you banned from GROTA; just ask the douchebag who keeps trying to come back.  You can even tell me I'm an idiot, or a hater, or a moron, none of that will get you in trouble... probably because I am too much of an idiot to prevent people from trying to chip away at my ego.  (This again is something that marks us as being different from most places.  I have a feeling that if you headed over to BCB and started calling Al names, you wouldn't be allowed to do so for very long.)

When it comes to our expectations -- and our hopes -- for the '09 season, at this point my personal take is very, very different from Rob's.  I believe first and foremost that the Cubs are capable of making the playoffs -- which isn't the same as an expectation.  I wouldn't be surprised if they did, I wouldn't be surprised if they didn't.  They've shown me enough good and bad to leave me thinking that they might be an 83 win team or an 87 win team, and in the NL Central 87 wins might be enough to get them into the dance.

I'm not 100% sure if Rob has completely ruled out a playoff appearance at this point, but I suspect he expects them to not get there.  That's cool, I can understand that.

But this is where we differ strongly in opinion -- I believe that history has taught us that great teams do not win championships, although winning a championship can make a team great.  I have seen in my lifetime no-name teams win, poor teams beat rich teams, 83-win teams collect titles, 116-win teams fail to even get there to lose, and so-on.  I've seen enough to know that the playoffs are unpredictable, at least to a layman like me.  Therefore, I have concluded that if the Cubs reach the playoffs, then they are capable -- again, not the same as expected, or even anticipated -- of winning the whole she-bang. 

Rob, on the other hand, believes that this is impossible.  Why?  Because they're the Cubs.  Their long history of losing, mixed with their long season of underperforming, sprinkled on top of by the immense pressure a playoff appearance would bring, leaves them as being absolutely, undeniably sad participants should they waste our time and theirs by reaching the playoffs.

That I have disagreed with Rob on this point makes me guilty of "shouting your false hopes into the cruel winds."  But I think we all know the difference between an expectation and being free of them, and I definitely fall into the latter category.  And so long as I have a pulpit here, anybody who wants to prematurely stick a fork into the Cubs will learn that their wielded implement is double-edged. 

Odds are, the Cubs will prove Rob right.  If they even make the playoffs, they are likely to get their asses handed to them by whichever opponent they face.  The same is true of pretty much all post season teams ... the playoffs favor nobody but the team with the most momentum and the greatest amount of luck.  Even the Cubs -- yes, even the Cubs -- can fall into that category if they get there.  We've seen it before with the '04 Red Sox, and the '06 Cardinals, just to name two recent examples -- two examples that cannot be countered by any facsimile of reason or logic.

And if the statement I've just made is in contrast to your opinion of baseball, if you honestly believe that Christmas has been canceled and the kitchen has been closed here on August 11th, with a month and a half of baseball left to be played, then do yourself a favor and pretend the season is over.  You're just causing yourself anxiety by following along in this season of unavoidable woe.  Get geared up for football, or hell, soccer.  The CFL is already in full swing and it's a pretty exciting league.  The NFL promises many storylines this season.  And if the Cubs should shock you and make the playoffs, do yourself a favor and don't watch -- you've already written them off for dead.  And if they should happen to win the first series they play -- which you know won't happen -- then continue your avoidance of the post season.  Keep it to overhearing hallway talk and cubical chatter.  And if they should happen to reach the World Series -- a truly ridiculous proposition that you already know can't possibly happen -- then whether you enjoy it or not, whether you are excited or not, I hope you never forget that you quit on an under-performing team long before they were ruled out of anything.  May the words "I always knew" never escape your mouth.  But I won't wish guilt upon you because I get why you would've given up so soon. 

Anyway.  Strong words from me honestly not directed at Rob but at anybody who thinks that way -- and there are plenty of Cub fans out there who do.  But to go back to the very first thing I said, this blog kicks ass because we do not all agree, we do not all subscribe, we do not all swill, and no matter how frustrating it is, or how angry we make one another, GROTA is better because of the debate.  Besides, if Dave Kaplan has taught us anything it's that controversy drives readership.  So, consider this my open plea to Rob to continue disagreeing and debating on this topic openly and, if necessary viciously -- because we're all better because of it.  Not to mention the fact that he's probably right... even if for the wrong reasons.

Current Record: 58-52
Position in the NL Central: 2nd place, 3 games back of the Cardinals
Magic Number: 54 (thanks to cubsmagicnumber.com)
Best Possible Record: 110-52
Worst Possible Record: 58-104
Record needed to win 90: 32-20
On Pace For: 85-78

Playoffs...

I won't feel too bad about the Cubs not making the playoffs this year (if they don't), except that the Cubs not making the postseason likely means the Cardinals DO make the postseason, which would be horribly embarassing.

Yes, they'll probably get their arses handed to them, but its still better than watching the miracle-boy, Chris Carpenter, and Albert "Stinky" Pujols frolick through October like so many little red birdies in their early-autumn glee.

At this point, I'm most concerned with just finishing above the Cardinals, and seeing an ownership change get done before the winter meetings. Why is it so hard for a multi-billionaire to come up with less than a billion dollars?

'Til the Bitter End

This argument reminds me of sitting in the stands in the final inning or two, when your team is down by an "insurmountable" number of runs. You see people start to head for the exits because they've lost hope, at least for the day. Yeah, they're probably right -- your team is probably not going to score, say, 8 runs in the 8th and 9th to win the game. Yes, sitting through two more innings hoping against hope can be tough, and odds are that the trends will continue and the good guys will lose. BUT... that one time every so often when they pull it off! Man, to me that makes it worth going through ALL the times when the expected odds prevailed.

Yes, my user name is accurate: I'm a Cardinals fan. Maybe you don't want to hear this from the likes of someone like me, but geez! You're only 3 games back! There's 50 games left! I for one certainly don't think the Cards have it wrapped up. And you lose a certain, I don't know, moral standing to call yourself a fan if you give up on your team and then they come back. Would you rather be a die-hard Cubs fan, or would you rather be "right"? Hey, rooting for the Cubbies is not for sissies...

And welcome to the site, be

And welcome to the site, be you a Cub fan or not as long as there isn't stupid hostility (on either of our parts) I'll value your contributions.

As for the kind of fan you describe, I have to admit I have no love for the kind of Pollyanna fan who'd say "it's not too late" in that situation. It goes back to expectations, or a lack of them ... when the Cubs -- or any team -- is trailing by a lot of runs with very few chances remaining, I certainly would not expect them to come from behind. But while not expecting it, or anticipating it, it DOES happen from time to time and so I wouldn't be shocked if it did... even if I'd be one of those guys hearing about it on my car radio outside the stadium.

Anyway, thanks for the thoughts. I for one would love a race down to the wire ... at the very least, it'd make for some excitement!

Thanks, Kurt...

...for the welcome. And don't worry, stupidly hostile remarks generally commit the worst sin of all -- they're boring. I'll try my best not to be boring!

Yeah, when I sit through the end of a shellacking, I know the payoff of an amazing comeback is a once every 2 or 3 seasons thing. It's not an expectation, if anything the fun of it is that a huge comeback is so UNexpected.

With regard to a race down to the wire, I'll say this: much as I want the Cubs far, far, back in the rankings, I can't deny that a Cubs/Cards NLCS would be the most exciting thing that could happen, at least to Chicago and St. Louis. Not THIS year, our division's too weak to produce the wild card, but SOME day. For 2009 we'll have to settle for a simple fight for the division...

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