Goatriders of the Apocalypse

Laying the odds

As we build steam toward Spring Training, Cub fans are already wondering if '10 will be another lost cause almost before it even starts.  Well, I've done some searching, and not even a kick-ass sportsbook like Belmont has started laying the odds on the upcoming season, but perhaps we should consider the following facts:

  • Alfonso Soriano is not over-the-hill yet, is coming back from knee surgery, and cannot possibly duplicate the crappy down-year he had in '09
  • Cheer up, Rob, Geo Soto is apparently fit and fantastic
  • Aramis Ramirez aught to be healthier
  • Derrek Lee is in a contract season
  • Milton Bradley is gone
  • Dude.  Seriously.  Milton Bradley is gone.
  • The rotation remains blessed, the bullpen aught to be decent, and the offense might actually surprise us and be hole-free
  • Did the surprise team of '09, St. Louis, get any better?
  • Did any team in the Central get better?

If those facts are indeed true -- and for the most part they can't be contested -- then the Cubs just might surprise us by making another run for it.  I don't know that I'd predict them to be World Series champs -- or even NL Central ones -- but there's no reason to assume they'll do worse.  As amazing as '08 was in terms of career years and offensive production, '09 was almost an all-round unmitigated offensive disaster.  It'll be better in '10.  You can bet on it.

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