On Pace For
On May 5th, I had A thought before Bed
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If the Carlos Zambran-O-Meter is indeed going to hit 120, the Cubs will need to go 108 - 27 the rest of the way. Hmm... lets see: 108/135 = .800 We only need to play .800 baseball to finish with 120 wins! To win 100, the Cubs must play 88 - 47, or .651 ball. |
Since then, the Cubs have gone 19-12, or .633 baseball. If they keep up that pace, the Cubs will finish the season with 97 wins.
So, I'm going to update the "On Pace For" projections to see how well the Cubs have to play over the rest of the year.
To win 120 games: The Cubs still need 89 wins, 89-15 = .856
To win 100 games: The Cubs still need 69 wins, 69-35 = .664
To win 95 games: The Cubs still need 64 wins, 64-40 = .615
To win 90 games: The Cubs still need 59 wins, 59-45 = .567
To win 82 games: The Cubs still need 51 wins, 51-53 = .490
As of today, the Cubs have a 44% chance of making the playoffs. (Thanks to The Northside Lounge, which watches this statistic far more closely than I.)
