Goatriders of the Apocalypse

On Pace For

On May 5th, I had A thought before Bed

If the Carlos Zambran-O-Meter is indeed going to hit 120, the Cubs will need to go 108 - 27 the rest of the way.

Hmm... lets see: 108/135 = .800

We only need to play .800 baseball to finish with 120 wins!

To win 100, the Cubs must play 88 - 47, or .651 ball.
To win 95, we need to go 83 - 52, or a .614 winning percentage.
To win 90, we need to go 78 - 57, or .577

Since then, the Cubs have gone 19-12, or .633 baseball. If they keep up that pace, the Cubs will finish the season with 97 wins.

So, I'm going to update the "On Pace For" projections to see how well the Cubs have to play over the rest of the year.

To win 120 games: The Cubs still need 89 wins, 89-15 = .856

To win 100 games: The Cubs still need 69 wins, 69-35 = .664

To win 95 games: The Cubs still need 64 wins, 64-40 = .615

To win 90 games: The Cubs still need 59 wins, 59-45 = .567

To win 82 games: The Cubs still need 51 wins, 51-53 = .490

As of today, the Cubs have a 44% chance of making the playoffs. (Thanks to The Northside Lounge, which watches this statistic far more closely than I.)

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